Who makes the high school football playoffs if season ended today? Three local teams, but not Manatee

The Florida High School Athletic Association will release the Week 9 playoff points on Tuesday. But we tabulated the numbers a day early to give you a sneak peek at what to expect for Manatee County area programs.

Teams are in order of points, except when determining district champion slots. These do not reflect any makeup games scheduled for Monday night, such as Tampa Jesuit and Jefferson. Tiebreaking formulas are explained, too.

When deciding district champions for Classes 8A-5A, the team with the best district record entering Week 9 was chosen. The points average decides tiebreakers unless the teams with identical district records played head-to-head. Local teams are italicized, while projected district champions are in bold.

Here’s a look at each:

Class 8A-Region 2

DISTRICT 5

Dr. Phillips 2-0 38.57

Olympia 2-0 36.43

Oak Ridge 2-1 32.43

Freedom 0-3 26.88

Cypress Creek 0-2 26.71

DISTRICT 6

Sarasota Riverview 5-0 40.13

Newsome 2-1 37.33

Manatee 3-1 34.20

Steinbrenner 1-3 32.86

Alonso 1-3 30.67

Riverview 1-2 28.83

Palm Harbor University 0-3 26.8

DISTRICT 7

Kissimmee Osceola 2-0 44.00

Ridge Community 1-1 37.71

Gateway 2-1 36.25

George Jenkins 1-2 32.00

Haines City 0-2 26.71

DISTRICT 8

Vero Beach 2-0 45.33

Centennial 0-2 38.00

Treasure Coast 1-1 35.00

Fort Pierce Central 1-1 33.80

PROJECTED SEEDS

1. Vero Beach, 45.33

2. Kissimmee Osceola, 44.00

3. Sarasota Riverview, 40.13

4. Orlando Dr. Phillips, 38.57

5. St. Lucie Centennial, 38.00

6. Haines City Ridge Community, 37.71

7. Lithia Newsome, 37.33

8. Orlando Olympia, 36.43

BUBBLE

9. Gateway, 36.25

10. Treasure Coast 35.00

11. Manatee, 34.20

PROJECTED FIRST-ROUND PAIRINGS

Orlando Olympia at Vero Beach; Lithia Newsome at Kissimmee Osceola; Haines City Ridge Community at Sarasota Riverview; St. Lucie Centennial at Orlando Dr. Phillips.

Notes: Manatee has a tough hill to climb, but it is possible. The Hurricanes and Newsome meet Oct. 30 and that’s a pivotal game along with the season finale against Venice. Sarasota Riverview is the only team that’s clinched a district title in 8A-2.

Class 7A-Region 3

DISTRICT 9

Tampa Bay Tech 4-0 38.50

Durant 3-1 37.71

Bloomingdale 3-1 33.29

Plant City 3-1, 33.14

East Bay 2-3 32.71

Strawberry Crest 0-4 26.29

Lennard 0-5 24.86

DISTRICT 10

Pinellas Park 3-0 36.17

St. Pete 0-2 39.00

Countryside 1-1 34.5

East Lake 1-1 31.29

Seminole 0-1 20.60

DISTRICT 11

Venice 3-0 43.67

Braden River 2-1 41.5

Palmetto 2-1 38.67

Lakewood Ranch 1-2 36.2

North Port 0-2 32.67

Sarasota 0-2 31.00

DISTRICT 12

Gulf Coast 1-0 34.00

South Fort Myers 1-0 32.00

Riverdale 0-2 29.86

PROJECTED SEEDS

1. Venice, 43.67

2. Tampa Bay Tech 38.50

3. Pinellas Park, 36.17

4. Naples Gulf Coast, 34.00

5. Braden River, 41.50

6. St. Petersburg, 39.00

7. Palmetto, 38.67

8. Plant City Durant 37.71

BUBBLE

9. Lakewood Ranch, 36.2

PROJECTED FIRST-ROUND PAIRINGS

Plant City Durant at Venice; Palmetto at Tampa Bay Tech; St. Petersburg at Pinellas Park; Braden River at Naples Gulf Coast.

Notes: Both Braden River and Palmetto get in with quality victories earlier this season, while Lakewood Ranch’s recent two losses sees the Mustangs just on the cusp of getting into the playoffs.

Class 5A-Region 3

DISTRICT 9

Lakewood 2-0 39.50

Tarpon Springs 2-0 35.00

Gibbs 0-2 30.40

Dunedin 0-2 24.00

DISTRICT 10

Jesuit 2-0 37.00

Jefferson 1-0 36.17

Middleton 1-1 31.14

Robinson 1-1 27.80

Spoto 0-3 26.86

DISTRICT 11

Southeast 3-0 36.60

Hardee 2-1 32.43

Booker 2-1 30.29

Bayshore 1-2 28.20

DeSoto 0-2 27.00

Lemon Bay 0-2 26.80

DISTRICT 12

Immokalee 3-0 38.83

Dunbar 2-0 38.20

Clewiston 1-1, 33.80

Cypress Lake 1-2 33.17

Lely 1-2 30.33

Mariner 0-3 28.33

PROJECTED SEEDS

1. St. Petersburg Lakewood, 39.50

2. Immokalee, 38.83

3. Tampa Jesuit, 37.00

4. Southeast, 36.60

5. Fort Myers Dunbar, 38.20

6. Tampa Jefferson, 36.17

7. Tarpon Springs 35.00

8. Clewiston, 33.80

BUBBLE

9. Fort Myers Cypress Lake 33.17

10. Wauchula Hardee 32.43

11. Tampa Middelton 31.14

12. Naples Lely 30.33

13. Sarasota Booker 30.29

14. St. Petersburg Gibbs 30.24

15. Cape Coral Mariner 28.33

16. Bayshore 28.20

PROJECTED FIRST-ROUND PAIRINGS

Clewiston at St. Petersburg Lakewood; Tarpon Springs at Immokalee; Tampa Jefferson at Tampa Jesuit; Fort Myers Dunbar at Southeast.

Notes: Southeast is the only District 11 team to get in as of Monday, which means the Seminoles can’t afford to not get in via the automatic district champion path. Bayshore’s huge win over Hardee bumps the Bruins a bit, but they need to win out and hope for help to have a chance. Lakewood is listed above Tarpon Springs via the points average tiebreaker. Jesuit is ahead of Jefferson and Immokalee is ahead of Dunbar using the district record tiebreaker.

Class 3A-Region 2

PROJECTED SEEDS

1. Clearwater Central Catholic, 40.86

2. Tampa Catholic, 37.80

3. Lakeland Christian, 37.80

4. Clearwater Calvary Christian, 36.00

5. Ocala Trinity Catholic, 34.17

6. Tampa Berkeley Prep, 34.17

7. Cardinal Mooney, 30.67

8. St. Petersburg Catholic, 30.67

PROJECTED FIRST-ROUND PAIRINGS

Lakeland Christian at Clearwater Central Catholic; Clearwater Calvary Christian at Tampa Catholic.

Notes: It may look bleak for Cardinal Mooney after the forfeited losses, but the Cougars still can climb the ladder with a major points game against rival CCC looming. The Cougars own the head-to-head tiebreaker over St. Pete Catholic and Ocala Trinity Catholic has the tiebreaker over Tampa Berkeley Prep via more Category 1, 2 and 3 wins. Tampa Catholic has the tiebreaker over Lakeland Christian with more Category 1 and 2 wins.

This story was originally published October 16, 2017 at 4:43 PM with the headline "Who makes the high school football playoffs if season ended today? Three local teams, but not Manatee."