Hurricane

Tropical Storm Jerry on track to strengthen into a hurricane soon

Tropical Storm Jerry is on track to strengthen into a hurricane as soon as Thursday.
Tropical Storm Jerry is on track to strengthen into a hurricane as soon as Thursday. NHC

Tropical Storm Jerry remained disorganized Wednesday afternoon but still on track to approach the eastern Caribbean islands as a hurricane later this week.

As of 2 p.m. Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center said the storm was slightly stronger with 60 mph sustained winds. It’s expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane as soon as Thursday and potentially brush the northern Leeward Islands as it makes a northern turn into the open Atlantic. However, the storm will likely be far enough away from the islands that they would only feel the outskirts — tropical storm conditions — and not the stronger hurricane-force winds.

Those islands, including Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius and Guadeloupe, remain under a tropical storm watch.

The latest forecast track has Jerry’s path bending again and steering it away from Bermuda on Sunday and Monday, while it holds onto its hurricane status.

The other disturbance eyed by the hurricane center is likely to dissipate Wednesday evening as it moves inland over Mexico.
The other disturbance eyed by the hurricane center is likely to dissipate Wednesday evening as it moves inland over Mexico. NHC

Beyond Jerry, the hurricane center is also eyeing a disturbance near Mexico with very little chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm — just a 10% shot in the next two to seven days.

Forecasters said it’s on track to head inland over Mexico Wednesday evening, “therefore it’s opportunity for any development will be ending soon.”

This story was originally published October 8, 2025 at 8:00 AM with the headline "Tropical Storm Jerry on track to strengthen into a hurricane soon."

Alex Harris
Miami Herald
Alex Harris is the lead climate change reporter for the Miami Herald’s climate team, which covers how South Florida communities are adapting to the warming world. Her beat also includes environmental issues and hurricanes. She attended the University of Florida.
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