Weather News

South Florida to be wetter, hotter than usual due to distant tropical disturbance

The 8 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 10, map of disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean
The 8 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 10, map of disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean NHC

South Florida will become slightly wetter Wednesday, due to a tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico. Northern regions might see flooding.

Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center is watching a different disturbance in the Atlantic far from land that no longer stands a chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm.

Here’s the hurricane center’s update from 8 p.m. Tuesday.

What’s going on with AL93 in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico?

The chances that this low-pressure area will form into a depression or a storm plummeted Tuesday evening. The system is still bringing rain to the southwestern region of the Gulf of Mexico.

Forecasters say it may merge with a developing frontal boundary over the western Gulf of Mexico.

Regardless of whether it actually becomes a depression or a storm, it will bring “gale-force winds” to the northern Gulf region by Wednesday as well as drench the coast later.

The National Weather Service of Miami warned that the system will bring “a increase in moisture across our area over the next few days.”

The heaviest rains will drop more to the north of South Florida.

“Heavy rainfall could result in localized flooding concerns if it occurs over urban areas,” the NWS said.

That’s not all. Warmer temperatures are also possible behind the “frontal boundary,” which could mean the heat index around South Florida could reach up to 105-110 degrees Thursday to Saturday.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 0%, down from 30% as of the 2 p.m. advisory.

Formation chance through seven days: 0%, down from 30% as of the 2 p.m. advisory.

The wait on AL92 in the eastern Atlantic Ocean

The disturbance in the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean called “AL92” is still several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. And Tuesday’s forecast resembles Sunday’s and Monday’s, with the prediction “a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.”

Formation chance through 48 hours: 80%, the same as the 2 p.m. advisory.

Formation chance through seven days: 80%, the same as the 2 p.m. advisory.

READ MORE: Study says climate change could bring stronger, earlier hurricanes. What about in Florida?

This story was originally published October 10, 2023 at 8:32 AM with the headline "South Florida to be wetter, hotter than usual due to distant tropical disturbance."

David J. Neal
Miami Herald
Since 1989, David J. Neal’s domain at the Miami Herald has expanded to include writing about Panthers (NHL and FIU), Dolphins, old school animation, food safety, fraud, naughty lawyers, bad doctors and all manner of breaking news. He drinks coladas whole. He does not work Indianapolis 500 Race Day.
Devoun Cetoute
Miami Herald
Miami Herald Cops and Breaking News Reporter Devoun Cetoute covers a plethora of Florida topics, from breaking news to crime patterns. He was on the breaking news team that won a Pulitzer Prize in 2022. He’s a graduate of the University of Florida, born and raised in Miami-Dade. Theme parks, movies and cars are on his mind in and out of the office.
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