Two systems in the Atlantic. The Hurricane Center puts the storm chances of one at 100%
READ MONDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE: Tropical Depression 3 should be hurricane by end of the week, NHC says
As of Monday morning, the National Hurricane Center is tracking two disturbances in the Atlantic Ocean and states for one there’s a “100% chance of cyclone formation.” Here are the details:
Where is the first disturbance? Where is it going?
The first system is “roughly midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles” the hurricane center said in its 8 a.m. Monday update. It’s expected to head west at about 15 to 20 mph.
How strong is it? Will it get stronger?
“Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form over the next day or so,” the hurricane center said.
Disturbance No. 1 became “better organized overnight and is close to becoming a tropical cyclone,” the NHC said. “If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression later (Monday).”
The chance of cyclone formation in the next two days rose to “near 100%” for the next 48 hours and the next seven days.
Will it affect Florida?
It’s still too soon to answer that. There aren’t even watches or warnings for the Eastern Caribbean yet.
What about the second wave?
The hurricane center began monitoring a second wave Sunday night.
Located “several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands,” some development of this Atlantic system is possible through the middle to latter part of this week as it moves west at 10 to 15 mph, the hurricane center said.
As of the 2 p.m. upate, the chance for cyclone formation for the next 48 hours is up to 40% and up to 50% for the next seven days.
This story was originally published June 18, 2023 at 11:44 AM with the headline "Two systems in the Atlantic. The Hurricane Center puts the storm chances of one at 100%."