Severe Weather Blog

Hurricane Center: Potential trouble could be brewing in the tropics

Location of tropical wave, as of 2 p.m. EDT.
Location of tropical wave, as of 2 p.m. EDT. National Hurricane Center

There is 80 percent chance that a strong and fast-moving tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea will develop into a tropical storm or hurricane in the next 48 hours, the National Hurricane Center said early Monday.

Located about 275 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, the system became significantly better organized overnight and continues to quickly move westward at 20 mph, according to forecasters.

“Thunderstorm activity associated with the wave remains organized, but the system still appears to lack a closed surface circulation. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development,and a tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight,” the Hurricane Center said in a statement issued at 2 p.m. EDT

Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are expected for along the southern coast of Dominican Republic and Haiti through this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected in Jamaica on Monday evening, and could reach the Cayman Islands overnight.

A tracking map at Weather Underground projects the system will take aim at the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.

The Hurricane Center said there is a 80 percent chance of the system becoming a tropical storm within the next 48 hours, and a 90 percent chance within the next five days.