MANATEE -- After a bit of sunshine Sunday, the coming first week of fall weather is expected to bring a lot of rain.
The Bay News 9 weather team is calling for a 30 percent chance of showers and storms Sunday, with most driven by the sea breeze, meteorologist Josh Linker said.
The rain chance goes up to 70 percent Monday, the first day of fall, and 80 percent Tuesday before settling in at 50 percent the rest of the work week.
The culprit, says Linker, is a frontal boundary sitting over the middle of Florida.
"This front is going to remain in place," Linker said. "Another cold front is going to come in from the northwest, and we're going to have a lot of moisture streaming in from the west and a dip in the jet stream. All that together, along with another disturbance developing across that front, will lead to higher rain chances tomorrow and on Tuesday."
Cloud cover starting will keep daytime temperatures below normal. Projected highs for Tuesday and Wednesday are 85 and 83 degrees, respectively.
When you’re in South Florida, even a small difference can be noticeable.
On Monday night, expect lows in the mid-70s with highs Tuesday in the mid-80s.
If that’s not putting you in an autumn mood, consider the average temperatures have exceeded 80 at night and 90 during the day during this long, hot summer.
The cool-down — if you can call it that — is thanks to increased cloud coverage, said National Weather Service meteorologist Jeral Estupinan.
Temperatures could be 5 degrees lower in some areas and and 2 or 3 degrees lower in others.
“Every time you have cloud coverage in the subtropics, clouds actually control a lot of the temperature,” he said. “Even though the sun is still very high in the sky, you are going to have a chance for lower temperatures in the day.”
The humidity will still be high. Thunderstorms are still likely.
That means we’ll still be sweating, then dodging the raindrops.
Just like summer.